Working natural gas inventories currently stand at 3,220 Bcf which is within the five-year historical range. This figure is 212 Bcf (6.2%) less than this time last year and 15 Bcf (0.5%) above the five year average of 3,205 Bcf.
The October 2017 NYMEX Futures price started at $2.97/MMBtu prior to the report’s release and has since increased to $2.99/MMBtu following the EIA report.
Outlook for the Balance of Storage Season:
The graph below compares historical 12, 24 and 36 month strip prices and storage levels for the past 5 years.
The following table shows the injection numbers we will need to average by week to hit selected historical levels:
The following two graphs show current natural gas in storage compared to each of the last 5 years and weekly storage averages and patterns.
The graph below shows the injections through the current week over the past 5 years.
Finally, the graphics below depicts the 6 to 10 day temperature range outlook from the National Weather Service.
Current Week’s Outlook