Natural Gas Storage Report Injection Season Week 7 (Week Ending May 18, 2018)

The seventh week of injection season provided an injection of 91 Bcf, essentially falling in line with the market expectation of 92 Bcf. This year’s injection is larger than last year’s 74 Bcf and the five year average at 89 Bcf. 2018 Atlantic hurricane season kicks off with a possible tropical or subtropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico hitting the Southeast and Florida.

Current working natural gas inventories stands at 1,629 Bcf. This figure is 804 Bcf (33%) less than this time last year and 499 Bcf (23.4%) below the five year average.

The June 2018 NYMEX Futures price was $2.933/MMBtu prior to the report’s release and has since increased to $2.940/MMBtu.

Outlook for the Balance of Storage Season:

The graph below compares historical 12, 24 and 36 month strip prices and storage levels for the past 5 years.

The following table shows the injection numbers we will need to average by week to hit selected historical levels:

The following two graphs show current natural gas in storage compared to each of the last 5 years and weekly storage averages and patterns.

The graph below shows the injections through the current week over the past 5 years.

Finally, the graphics below depicts the 6 to 10 day temperature range outlook from the National Weather Service.

Current Week’s Outlook

Future Outlook

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